As much as I'm a Beazley fan, I think Rudd is doing a great job at gaining voter confidence in his first run at everything, with his listening tour he seemed to gain a lot of support.
Beazley was getting into a trend of agreeing with a lot of things that Johnny was going for that weren't really popular issues, like the signing of values statements by overseas visitors...Rudd come in and just scrapped that idea, which made a lot of people happy.
I think Beazley has a charisma that Rudd really lacks, but the image doctors and publicity people were quick to jump on the whole "Rudd was a battler and had a rough childhood" which i think has endeared him to the people. As much as I think he can come across as a prat in press conferences, he does have a great outlook for Australia and can be a really funny bastard. We used to have to attend press conferences for work, and he would always start off by making fun of our company for being there as we were contracted by Alexander Downer's office haha.
But, Beazley had his run at it and couldn't get past a very important point which is voter trust and confidence despite being leader. Rudd I think has gained that in an extrodinarily quick time and I think runs the best chance Labor has had for years.
He'll be the PM next year.
Queensland will win it for him...if he can swing all the steadfast Nationals voters on the land, they've got it.