Jim LotFP said:I will disagree.
(edit: Eighty thousand people showed up for the Lordi show yesterday, not the two hundred thousand number some people were throwing around)
And remember none of these people (or at least not enough to make a difference in voting) voted for Lordi in the Eurovision contest. You can't vote for the country you're currently in.
Some Eurovision stats from its website:
"This year, the number of viewers for the Semi Final were 35% higher than in 2005 and for the Final, were up by 28%."
So all those estimates of "one hundred million viewers" based on past years? Hah. We're around 128,000,000 viewers, really.
"In France, average market shares reached 30.3%, up by 8% over last year's figure. Other countries that showed a rise in average market shares, include Germany with 38.7% (up from 29.8%), UK with 37.5% (up from 36.9%), Spain with 36% (up from 35.5%), Ireland with 58.3 % (up from 35.3%) and Sweden, which reached over 80% compared to 57.8% in 2005."
In Sweden 80% of all televisions in use (and who knows how they measure this these days) during the time Eurovision was on, were turned to Eurovision.
But Sweden had a large increase, and they gave 12 points to Finland. Ireland gave 12 to Lithuania and 10 to Finland (heavy "protest" vote there, interesting.) Spain gave Finland 10. UK gave Finland 12 and Lithuania 10 (again...). Germany gave Finland 10. France gave 8.
So all of the places they mentioned as having significantly greater interest voted for Lordi in their top three places, the most heavy increases giving the full 12 points to Lordi.
As interest in "heavy metal" rises, the industry behind heavy metal is going to fall all over themselves to make it more accessible to every single person on Earth. This doesn't simply mean MTV exposure, better distribution to stores, and the like. It does mean some people are going to get very famous and very rich.
It does mean people picking up a guitar and noodling around can see such fame and fortune as a possible outcome for them.
So what are they going to decide to play? Music that means something? Or music that will facilitate their fame and fortune?
Yeah, there will still be genuine bands out that that become successful. You know. Well, wildly successful by the standards of anyone in the heavy metal community in the 90s (or even right now, not too many million sellers hanging around heavy metal, are there?). But most of the bands becoming successful under the banner of "heavy metal" will be the equivalent of the most painted and boring of the 80s glam scene.
There will be the bands that bitch and complain. (like Flotsam and Jetsam complaining in a magazine interview in the 80s that their record label needs to do more for them because they'd sold a pitiful 150,000 copies of their album). You'll have the large magazine asking ridiculous questions to bands that aren't (currently) geared towards mass acceptance (see bands like Kreator and Sepultura in the 80s having their success compared to Metallica's).
We'll probably have our new versions of "SPECIAL REPORT: Why is concert security so dangerous to headbangers?"
And a number of them will reach a certain popularity with their anti-commercial stance and their cool music, and decide they want more, and change for the worse to be friendlier.
Now, all of this is going to be harder and heavier than the 80s equivalents. Whoever are the new generation's glame metal equivalents, they will be tons harder than the Wingers and such.
But remember, all commercial spikes and trends come to an end. If heavy metal is following the pattern of the 80s (and I think it is) as far as popularity, then the end will come quickly and decisively. A new trend (which will be musically related yet quickly distance itself from metal) will take over, and the entire heavy metal scene will collapse on itself. A few holdovers will still have careers, even more bands will shift to still seem "cool" with the new style, and most bands, with even the possibility of respectable record sales gone, will simply disappear.
Whatever heavy metal survives this, we wouldn't recognize it now. Every single thing we listen to will be "old news" and out of date for the new heavy metal underground to emerge from the ruins. It will be nastier and hostile to the old influences for awhile. No guarantees that anybody into heavy metal now will be able to stomach it. No bands that will be part of keeping that tradition alive exist yet. None of the record labels that will finance and publicize the movement exist yet. And the bands that serve as the core influences for this new future movement are probably just now releasing their first album or two, probably considered pure crap by our standards. But fuck all if anyone's going to know it until they've already gone sour and bands are talking about their "early" stuff.
A lot of words to say: Heavy metal hasn't learned a thing.
And I don't know if I'm up for all of the work it's going to take to sort through all this shit to find things I can enjoy.
So yeah, I think it's a big problem for the mass market to get hold of what they think is real "heavy metal." It won't hurt my ability to listen what I like now, but it's going to be so much more difficult to find more of that in the future. And I'm a fucking nitpick who has had a hard time of it the past few years anyway.
Somebody save this post and let's compare it to how things have gone in about ten years or so.
I think you may be overstimating the public effect of this Lordi hoopla. You're right there in Finland, and I suppose it stands to reason that there's a lot of publicity and "national pride" or whatever going on there, but really... the Finnish media would be going crazy over any Finnish act that won this contest, whether it's a supposedly-metal band that wears monster outfits or a teen pop singer. I bet the furor died down pretty quicky in the rest of Europe once the contest was over, and remember, in the US, the Eurovision contest wasn't even a minor story, even in entertainment news. Lordi winning this "contest" hardly presages a nexus between pop and "metal" such as what occurred 20 years ago.
Also, I think you're prognosticating in far too much detail. The environment today is not exactly the same as it was in the 1980's... there's no guarantee that the music industry will develop in the same way it did at that time. And even if were to happen, there were still plenty of great metal acts in the 80's, some of them even... *gasp*... selling well.
It would be interesting to revisit this conversation in 10 years and see what has transpired, but I see little evidence to support your theory of the demise of metal. There were people who were into actual "metal" in 1986, and sure, at that time, some actual metal bands were getting carried along with the wave of popularity that was driven by pop / rock hair bands. When that wave came crashing down in the early 1990's, a lot of the real metal bands took a hit right along with the ridiculous hair bands. By 1996, people from 1986 who were still real metal fans no longer had as much metal right in ther face and as easily available, but when you come down to it, there was still plenty of it available for people who were die-hard fans and were willing to look. A great many of the bands from the 80's were still around, and lots of new bands were coming along. It was just harder for many people to obtain than it was in the 80's.
Now, another 10 years have passed, and few can deny that it's much easier to get a hold of a metal release in 2006 than it was in 1996. Not only are the albums more widely distributed, and not only do bands have more touring opporunities now, but the internet has created a huge change in the way people obtain and experience music. It's also changed the position within the industry of the once-all-powerful major label... and it will never be the same again.
Seriously, I think the main reason why you are having trouble finding stuff to listen to lately is because you're simply getting more picky... because it's rather tough to make the argument that metal releases are harder to find.
As to what the status of "metal" and the music in general will be 10 years from now... I'm not so bold as to predict anything specific... but barring some civilization-destroying cataclysmic event like nuclear war or a meteor strike, I find it very hard to picture a scenario where I'm sitting around in 2016 saying "Fuck! I just can't find anything good to listen to anymore!".