What percentage of people at a Maiden show, would you guess, want to hear post-1988 material over pre-1988 material? 1%?
I think there's a good possibility that you're suffering from some selection bias. Since you're old (sorry!) and American, the group that you're polling is likely to also be old and American. And among that group, yeah, your perception is probably accurate. But what about the younger crowd? Or the crowd in countries where Maiden's popularity is relatively new? They could have a much different opinion. Maybe Maiden's new stuff is just as objectively good as their old stuff, with nostalgia and attachment being the only thing that keeps them separate in the minds of older fans. In fact, that opinion was expressed by younger people at least twice in this very thread.
the reality is Maiden would be drawing no fewer people to their shows, if they hadn't released the entire second half of their discography.
Except that before they released the second half of their discography, they *did* draw fewer people. I know I say this all the time, but in 1996 they were playing 1400-capacity venues in the US. 1400! Their trajectory was *not* upwards (or even constant), and at that time I don't think many people would have been betting that they'd ever get back to arena status. But they did. Surely there are other factors involved, like the return of their classic-era singer, and the general revival of metal, but I think it would be hard to argue that putting out well-liked new albums was not also a contributing factor.
And to get those numbers back up, they also needed to tap into the next generation. As we see from Glenn's comments on ProgPower, old people stop going to shows. Artists can't stay at the same level based on their old fans alone. So Iron Maiden has captured the younger crowd, and that crowd is more likely to be unaware that they aren't supposed to like the new stuff.
Look at it this way; if Maiden did a greatest hits tour where they played 25 songs selected by their fans, how many songs from No Prayer for the Dying through The Final Frontier would make that cut? Probably only two
Six:
6: Fear of the Dark
11: The Wicker Man
14: Be Quick or Be Dead
16: Brave New World
21: Blood Brothers
24: Rainmaker
How about the same vote, but this time the Top 50 songs? Probably only the same two.
Ten more:
27: Ghost of the Navigator
28: Dance of Death
33: Wasting Love
36: Afraid to Shoot Strangers
37: Dream of Mirrors
42: The Mercenary
43: No More Lies
47: Man on the Edge
48: Holy Smoke
49: Different World
What does that say about how their last eight CDs stack up against their first seven?
A lot better than you assumed, at least! Data is from the most-listened to tracks over the last 6 months by last.fm listeners:
http://www.last.fm/music/Iron+Maiden/+charts?rangetype=6month&subtype=tracks
I'm always amazed by the song "Fear of the Dark". It, along with the also-popular "Afraid to Shoot Strangers", were the prototype songs of the "new Iron Maiden style". 7+ minutes long, quiet intro, slow buildup, repeat title 700 times, quiet outro. Their next two albums were built almost entirely by replicating those songs, and every album since then can be strongly connected to the style shown in those prototypes.
You would be very hard-pressed to find any objective way to show that "Fear of the Dark" is a "better" song than any of the dozens of similar songs from the new era. Yet, it's one of their most popular songs, and has become an unquestioned concert mainstay, getting a spot of honor right next to "Hallowed Be Thy Name" and "Iron Maiden".
Why? I say, because they *made* people like it. By playing it. Contrary to popular belief, people don't decide to like or dislike songs in a vacuum. Environment and other cues play a huge rule. "Oh, other people like this song? Maybe I'll pay more attention to it then!" "Oh, the band likes this song? It must be good then!" Often, just simple repetition is required to get people on-board (see top-40 radio for proof that this works). And any song Maiden plays at a concert is automatically going to seem a lot better to you, because you'll then associate it with a great time in your life, namely, your attendance at an Iron Maiden concert. So the next time you hear it at a concert, it'll seem more like an old favorite.
So that's why I think they continue to put a strong focus on playing new songs at their concerts. Not because they're self-indulgent assholes who don't give a crap about what their fans want, but because they actually see a bit farther into the future than their fans. They know that eventually the gravy train would run out if they stuck purely to their old classics. As great as they are, people will eventually get bored, or old, and stop coming. So they make a conscious effort to continually create *new* classics. A "classic" isn't just born fully-formed, it actually takes work to get it to that state among the fans, and that's why they play these new songs.
I think it's a brilliant strategy. And with a catalog as large as theirs, I can't imagine anyone balancing the line between backward-looking and forward-looking as successfully as Iron Maiden has done over the last decade.
Neil