Dakryn's Batshit Theory of the Week

Yes because the US does not have proportional representation or coalitions so a third party candidate will not win. The 2000 election springs to mind.

Can you clarify what you mean by this? I mean, if you're saying "I go into the voting booth and I see an option for Obama, but I also see an option for several other people," then obviously you're right. But if you mean to suggest that one could realistically hope for the election of the Constitution or Socialist party's candidate, then I'm going to have to disagree. When is the last time a United States president has come from outside the current mode of the two-party system? There is a very real sense in which, for those who lean toward the left, Obama is "all you've got," with respect to the presidency. Surely you can at least agree that McCain was not a better option for said person? Beyond that, I don't really know what you mean when you fault cookiecutter's statement, and I'd like you to elaborate and explain what you meant by it.

I already addressed this issue in a previous post, but apparently no one bothered to read that:

Obama is not "all we've got". There are independent and minor party candidates out there, and a lot of people vote for them, but not enough vote for them because the majority of us continue to buy into the self-defeating notion that there's "no other choice" but a Republican or a Democrat.

Let me try an idea on you that I hope you will give a moment of consideration before dismissing as "radical nonsense". There is a website/program called VotePact that proposes a solution to the problem of "lesser evilism". They encourage people to pair up with someone on the opposite end of the political spectrum and make an agreement with that person to mutually vote for the minor/independent political candidates they most agree with (i.e. the liberal partner would agree to vote Green and the conservative partner would agree to vote Constitution). Thus, neither partner in the pact will feel that their vote is simply a "handout to the opposition".

If people started talking about - and advocating - ideas like that on a wider scale, we might possibly stand a chance at breaking the Republican/Democrat duopoly. It's certainly better than going "oh, there's just no choice" and handing over our rights and tax dollars to crooks.

Please tell me the idea of actually doing something about the worsening problem of Republican/Democratic abandonment of their duty to the public is not so foreign to you guys as to not even warrant serious consideration.
 
Whoa whoa whoa, let's take a step off our high horses for a minute and look at this realistically, shall we?

First of all, your premise rests on the supposition that the person in question that is dissatisfied in the two party system actually sees something better in a third party candidate. That in itself is a rather grandiose leap of faith. It is rare that a third party candidate actually sparks my interest beyond "wow, I certainly wouldn't see a Democrat saying that...but it's still stupid bullshit." You also have to consider that we have a three branch system. How do you think a Congress filled with Repbulicans and Democrats will embrace a third party, fringe president? You think he'd be able to get shit done? I can just as likely see the election of a third party candidate hindering the success of future third party candidates than contributing to it. There are so many nuances to think about in this situation that it's not simply "stop voting into the two-party system you idiot!" That's as naive a position as any other. I could go on if you'd like me to, but I'm hoping you'll see that simply not voting for a Democrat or a Republican is not necessarily contributing to A Brighter Tomorrow™.
 
First of all, your premise rests on the supposition that the person in question that is dissatisfied in the two party system actually sees something better in a third party candidate. That in itself is a rather grandiose leap of faith. It is rare that a third party candidate actually sparks my interest beyond "wow, I certainly wouldn't see a Democrat saying that...but it's still stupid bullshit."

Since you claim to encounter so much "stupid bullshit" in the views of minor party candidates, you should have very little trouble finding examples of said bullshit, and making a half-decent case that it trumps corporate servitude in being unhealthy for the country. Care to start with Nader?

You also have to consider that we have a three branch system. How do you think a Congress filled with Repbulicans and Democrats will embrace a third party, fringe president? You think he'd be able to get shit done? I can just as likely see the election of a third party candidate hindering the success of future third party candidates than contributing to it.

Firstly, what on earth does it matter if his views are popular with Congress? If your concern is that governance will somehow enter a gridlock in which nothing is accomplished, I have two points in response: (1) Congress can override the President's vetos, thus still "getting shit done" without the President's support, and (2) it may be best that "shit" not get done inasmuch as the "shit" involves screwing over the American people to appease corporate interests. EDIT: (3) Remember that the President is the commander-in-chief of the military, so if nothing else a minor party President could still reign in our ridiculous number of overseas military deployments, which in and of itself could save us hundreds of $billions each year he's in office.

Secondly, if you really think electing third party candidates is going to hinder their success, do you mind explaining how not electing them is going to help them? :lol:

There are so many nuances to think about in this situation that it's not simply "stop voting into the two-party system you idiot!" That's as naive a position as any other. I could go on if you'd like me to, but I'm hoping you'll see that simply not voting for a Democrat or a Republican is not necessarily contributing to A Brighter Tomorrow™.

That is correct, but I can give you one good reason to "err on the side of" minor party candidates as opposed to Repubs or Dems, and the reason is that even just ramping up the competition against the major parties will do a lot of good for our political environment. If people are shown that minor parties can actually have a chance at winning elections, it will not only pressure the major parties to clean up their act but also make it easier for less "fringey" politicians to join the underdogs (as you can well imagine, many good politicians still work within the major parties just because of the power of their brands).

Finally, let me just emphasise a few things about our present state of affairs: Our budget deficit right now is around 1.5 trillion dollars. Our defense spending was around $900 billion in 2008 and is still on the rise, perhaps to as much as $1.15 trillion for 2009. The War on Terror is complete bullshit as we both know, yet it is being invoked continually to justify many laws that clearly violate our Constitutional rights. The Republicans and Democrats have let this all happen. What is it you find so worrisome about minor parties that it outstrips all THIS shit in severity?
 
Vihris do you actually think a third party candidate has any chance? Forget whether or not it would be better, just think about this realistically. That VotePact thing will not work because anyone who breaks it would be better off than those who kept to it, and I doubt you could find enough people who both dislike the current two parties but also like a third party. A third party president just won't happen any time soon so don't act like anyone who chooses to support one of the two main parties is an ignorant fool.
 
Vihris do you actually think a third party candidate has any chance? Forget whether or not it would be better, just think about this realistically. That VotePact thing will not work because anyone who breaks it would be better off than those who kept to it, and I doubt you could find enough people who both dislike the current two parties but also like a third party. A third party president just won't happen any time soon so don't act like anyone who chooses to support one of the two main parties is an ignorant fool.

No, I do not think there's a significant chance of a minor party taking over the Presidency or a majority of Congress, but I don't see what bearing that has on whether one should advocate minor party candidates or participate in something like VotePact. I do not understand why you seem to think it's a complete waste of time to do either of these, and I would really like an explanation, because I think your attitude that there's no chance of displacing the major parties is precisely why those parties have such absolute power.

On the issue of people not keeping their "pacts": you are again using counterproductively self-defeating reasoning. I believe part of the idea of VotePact is to partner with someone you trust, and who you are pretty sure wants the major parties out of power as much as you do. This of course limits how many people will be participating in the program, but the important thing is that there are some people active in it and that those people are spreading the idea to others.

At any rate, what's the big deal if a few people break their pacts? No one would know they did, and theoretically a similar number of progressives versus conservatives would be at fault. That's not going to kill the effectiveness of the program, but what will kill it is people thinking there's no one in the entire world they can trust with such an agreement. If the program ever gained a substantial number of participants, people could just start analysing the election results to get an estimate of whether one 'side' is breaking their pacts more than the others. Until then, why throw the idea out entirely just because there's a possibility of cheating? C'mon.
 
Since you claim to encounter so much "stupid bullshit" in the views of minor party candidates, you should have very little trouble finding examples of said bullshit, and making a half-decent case that it trumps corporate servitude in being unhealthy for the country. Care to start with Nader?

No, I don't care enough about convincing some guy in Virginia that a lot of third party candidates are batshit crazy and the good (or at least somewhat respectable one) are few and far between. It's not worth my time to sit here and google fucking articles illustrating my points when it's not even going to convince "guy in Virginia." If you actually have done as much research as you claim to have done on third party candidates, you would know that most of them are no better than the major party candidates. I would take Kucinich or even Ron Paul over the vast majority of third party candidates. This sounds nearly like blind support of the "next guy" phenomenon, most common in sports. If the guy in front is not doing his job, everybody calls for his head and urges for the next guy to be brought in, not because the next guy is good, but because he's not the other guy. I do not support the "next guy" merely because I don't support the guy who's up to bat right now.

Firstly, what on earth does it matter if his views are popular with Congress? If your concern is that governance will somehow enter a gridlock in which nothing is accomplished, I have two points in response: (1) Congress can override the President's vetos, thus still "getting shit done" without the President's support, and (2) it may be best that "shit" not get done inasmuch as the "shit" involves screwing over the American people to appease corporate interests. EDIT: (3) Remember that the President is the commander-in-chief of the military, so if nothing else a minor party President could still reign in our ridiculous number of overseas military deployments, which in and of itself could save us hundreds of each year he's in office.

What on earth does it matter if the presidential candidate whom you voted for's view are popular with Congress? Did you really just ask this question? If the president's views are not popular with Congress, then he's not going to be able to get anything accomplished. This was, however, not even my point. I was not referring to views, per se, but rather the status quo. Party lines are strictly divided. There are no joint coalitions. Congresspeople from the two major parties have little incentive to support the agenda of some president that is outside of their party, whether it is Democrat, Republican, Libertarian, Socialist, or Lizard People.

Another significant issue hindering the success of third party candidates is their unfamiliarity with the legislative process. I do not think that I have to lay out an argument detailing how a Democratic or Republican candidate is all but guaranteed to have a better understanding of how to "work" Congress into their favor than a third party candidate. This can even be seen in major parties. John F. Kennedy had minimal success at best in passing the sweeping legislations that he was elected for. Lyndon Johnson, however, as a former member of the Congress, knew how to get things done within that political culture and was able to enact many of the same things that JFK was unable to. The success of third party candidates hinges just as much on breaking down this political culture as it does changing the "unelectable" mentality that people have toward third parties.

As to your bullet points:

(1) We're talking about the president's platform, not Congress. Your mentioning of the Congress' power to render the president's efforts futile is in contrast to the point you're attempting to raise. Say a Libertarian was in office now, and vetoed the upcoming healthcare bill, and it's overridden by a supermajority vote. That renders the third party candidate in office a moot point. Also, a Democratic Congressperson is far more likely to override a third party president's agenda than he or she is a Democrat's, and the same can be said for the Republican side of things.

(2) Well, if the president gets vetoed, then it's not much use, is it? :p Sure, there are plenty of bills that are passed that it can be argued it would have been better if it wasn't passed, but the president has only so much say in that.

(3) So could a Democrat, or even a Republican. There are people from both parties who ran on the platform of withdrawing the troops. But who is to say that a third party candidate elected would not have had the same response as Obama had, which was, namely, coming to an evident realization that it was not feasible to induce a hasty withdrawal? There's a substantial difference between running for president and being the president, not the least of which being sources of knowledge only the president is privvy to. Perhaps an even greater difference between running for president and being some guy behind a computer. :saint:

Secondly, if you really think electing third party candidates is going to hinder their success, do you mind explaining how not electing them is going to help them? :lol:

Well, if you think about what I said, if, taking a specific example of a third party candidate being elected and that election hindering the future election of other third party candidates, then the better option in this scenarios would be to not get elected. Not getting elected would help them in that instance. For centuries, the primary function of third parties was to get issues across, not to get candidates elected, and if one getting elected hinders that function, then it's obviously a negative thing. And I merely said that I can see it being as likely that the election of a third party candidate would hinder the success of future third party candidates as contribute to. I did not say it was inevitable.

just ramping up the competition against the major parties will do a lot of good for our political environment.

I'm not utterly convinced of this. It seems intuitive enough, but like I said earlier, it is conceivable that there are some instances in which sacrificing pragmatic immediacy for long-term idealism ultimately hinders the ideal.

If people are shown that minor parties can actually have a chance at winning elections, it will not only pressure the major parties to clean up their act but also make it easier for less "fringey" politicians to join the underdogs (as you can well imagine, many good politicians still work within the major parties just because of the power of their brands).

Can you provide evidence of your first claim? I do not recall any notable examples in history of major parties "shaping up" in the advent of the rise of a third party candidate, such as Ross Perot. He was a pretty damn viable candidate, yet neither major party made any significant alterations to their strategies. The second claim seems likely to be true and I agree that it would be a good thing. But your very raising this point indicates to me that you recognize the dubious nature of many current and past third party candidates, which you seemed to have been calling me out on before.

Finally, let me just emphasise a few things about our present state of affairs: Our budget deficit right now is around 1.5 trillion dollars. Our defense spending was around $900 billion in 2008 and is still on the rise, perhaps to as much as $1.15 trillion for 2009. The War on Terror is complete bullshit as we both know, yet it is being invoked continually to justify many laws that clearly violate our Constitutional rights. The Republicans and Democrats have let this all happen.

Yep, that's some pretty bad shit, dude.

What is it you find so worrisome about minor parties that it outstrips all THIS shit in severity?

A bit of a loaded question, no? Wouldn't a better question be whether or not I believe a third party candidate can make all of that go away? My answer to that question would be that no, I don't believe any third party candidate without Congressional backing would be able to achieve that. I think the fringe party's best route is to stick with issue-based politics at the time-being while strengthening their legitimacy in the public eye in an effort to garner more "electable" candidates that would be more likely to work with Congress. If they can't pull the strings there, they will be ineffective.
 
Good points. I'll have to respond tomorrow when I've got more time/energy. For now though, I will clarify that I don't expect there to be any minor party President until his/her party has had a decent presence in Congress for a few election cycles (duh), and I will even give you that it would probably be better that way, just to make sure there's enough talent and skill within that party to fill such an important seat.

The other stuff I'll get to later.
 
If we're talking about a (distant?) future in which there is a strong third party presence in Congress, which implies that there is grassroots support among the populace for both their policies and their candidates, then obviously it's much more feasible, by leaps and bounds, to vote third party. But at that point can you really recognize them as a "fringe"?
 
You probably can't recognize them as fringe at that point, but you'd likely have to concede that they are a distinct "third party" to the effect that their general ideas are not going to be agreed upon by either existing party. In addition, there is the question of whether, however, at that point, the party may have extended its reach too far, and gotten ahead of itself in the political arena so much so that it becomes corrupted in a similar manner to the existing two parties that supporters of the now-growing third-party had such a distaste for. These are definitely interesting questions/hypotheticals to pose, though, in any case.
 
Yes, I know you don't care about the idea, but seriously - is your only justification for not caring that it's unlikely to change anything? I mean, do you think recycling is pointless if there isn't a large percentage of people doing it at this particular moment? You have to have a better reason than this. You could use that logic to dismiss nearly every form of activism or 'pitching in to change the world' effort out there.
 
vihris if that vote pact thing ever catches one I will buy you a beer with all the silver I'll have saved up

vihris if that vote pact thing ever catches on I will buy you a beer with all the silver I'll have saved up

Now you have to pay him double the silver and buy him 2 beers. Epic fail for a double post, sir. Not so much because of your thoughts on the matter, but just because if you're wrong you'll owe him a lot more than planned, which is mildly lulzy.
 
Well that seizure may have cost you double your actual worth and 2 delicious, cold drinks. I've noticed that about this forum, too. I posted once and it was like a triple post. Maybe it was four, but I don't remember. Weird.
 
Two people making a vote pact, in combination with millions of others, could elect a different President. What is your point?