Demonspell
cheating the polygraph
It is speculation, but I've heard that some analysts are expecting the biggest trunout of new voters since 2004, which can only work against Bush. And his approval rating is at a historic low, unprecedented this soon after a war, which has become nearly impossible to put any positive spin upon (God knows they'll try next month.) I also saw an electroal college projection last night that had Kerry ahead decisively (300-238 if I recall correctly, if he carries Ohio and Florida victory will happen.) His appeal is largely limited to far right conservatives and those who vote Republican only because they don't know any better and/or don't pay attention to the facts.