I dont even do any of that 401K shit. I just think that economy is on the downslope of the bell curve.
You need to keep two things in mind:
1. Over any 10 year period, in the history of the U.S., the stock market has produced a 10% return on investment (ROI).
2. Downturns in the economy, don't have a great deal of impact on the long term investor in a diversified fund portfolio, which is what a 401K is.
Let's say you have $10,000 in your 401K. You built that up by contributing $100 per month and your employer matching with their own $100 contribution. Right off the bat, you have an investment vehicle that has a 100% ROI, because your employer gave you $100 merely for contributing $100. So, you've doubled your money before you accept an ounce of risk.
Now, that $200 is worth more than the $200 in your paycheck, because the $200 in your paycheck has been taxed, the $200 in your 401K has not. And because that $100 you contributed is not reported as taxable income, your taxable income is lower than it would have been otherwise, and could even keep you in a lower tax bracket. Also, you wouldn't actually miss $100 from your paycheck. Given that the government takes their share, out of that $100 before you see it, you're probably only lose $70 out of your net.
OK. Let's get back to why downturns don't have an adverse impact on long term investing. Let's say with that $200 contribution, you're buying one $200 share of fund ABC. Now, fund ABC takes a huge downturn, and their stock is now worth $100 per share. However, with your next $200 contribution, you're able to buy two $100 shares, instead of the one $200 share. Although you didn't double your money (yet) you've doubled the amount of stock you're purchasing. Now, when that fund bounces back, you not only have the original shares you had been holding on to during the downturn, but you also have all the additional shares you were able to purchase during the downturn, at the reduced price.
401Ks are quite literally a no-brainer.
Zod