The whole notion of Opeth's current status is kind of subjective and hard to prove anyhow, so I won't touch that.
I did see them last week, actually. Honestly, while I greatly miss Lopez and Lindgren, it was one of the better Opeth shows I've seen over the years. I really liked their setlist choices, and Mike has become more interesting onstage particularly with his banter.
But those guys have definitely had to make sacrifices, perhaps not artistically, but personally, in order to get to where they are now. As Paul mentioned earlier, you'd better believe that the toll of being on the road so much had a large part to do with the fact that so many of the guys are no longer with them anymore. Mike was obviously cut out for this business, he handles it well. But I'm sure the stress of it all, and especially now having kids and a wife back at home, gets to him more as he's getting older. I can't speak for him obviously, this is just my speculation.
I think that we're going to see a gradual change in how the whole music biz operates over the next several years, with the advent of the internet, downloading, Youtube, IPhones, and all this stuff making the spread and sharing of information and media so much easier and more widely available. It used to be that you had to tour every nook and cranny of the country in order to reach everyone and build up that fanbase. Now any fan from b.f.e Montana to Bangkok can see and hear your band without having to leave the house. I don't think live performances will ever stop, cool tours will continue to happen.....but with the additional factor of travel becoming more expensive and crossing borders becoming more restricted, I think you're going to start seeing artists taking new routes to get their music and their show across to the masses. And I for one am pretty excited to see some of these innovations.
I love playing in front of a live crowd though, it's an amazing feeling, even when I'm doing my "day-job" gig playing cover tunes, when you play in front of a good crowd and everything is really gelling, it's a great feeling.
As nice as it is though that I can make money playing the bars and festivals with the "day-job", it is a damned shame that underground metal bands....even fairly well established ones....have to struggle so hard just to get the same kind of turnout and payoff. When I see very respectable European metal bands playing here in Chicago and being lucky to draw around 200 people (and often less), that just astounds me