Music vs Movie piracy

nomisofsiman

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Sep 19, 2008
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This is a continuation of the thread on the main site, but more a discussion on which industry gets hurt more by piracy. I myself have an eduction in film (not gloating btw) and while it hasn't been a success yet, I am not going to lie and say that they're in much deeper shit than the music industry. Yeah, movies get downloaded, just like songs get downloaded; however, for the most part the film industry is still making a whole hell of a lot of money. Box office numbers are still pretty good. New record box office numbers (granted, it is a bit inflated) are still being executed. Overall, the film industry isn't in trouble.

Now, one would argue that a lot of the better films, i.e. indies are not being shown nationwide. This is true, but it has nothing to do with downloading. Most of my film friends I know of and some of the film forums I go onto, almost none of those people download artsy films. Some do, yes, but in general I would say the majority of downloaded and bootlegged films tend to be the bigger Hollywood films. While this may hurt some of their box office, they are typically outgrossing their production budget, so they really aren't in trouble.

The reason these films aren't nationwide is due to the lack of finances of independent filmmakers/studios and their inability to market themselves properly, get theaters interested in showing their films. Some are capable to grow in the marketplace, for example (500) Days of Summer and Crazy Heart last year, where they started out initially in about 20 theaters and grew to 1000+ theaters. This is typically how these films are put into theaters, and a lot of these films aren't even being streamed online. Some are, yes but not as many as you would think. Some of these indie distribution companies such as Apparition spent thousands of dollars to fight piracy of The Runaways upon its release.

For music, it's obvious that cd sales are down. While some may say a lot of it is due to lack of marketing of good bands/artists, ridiculous prices, the reality is that a lot of this is due to illegal downloading. I read the Rollingstone timeline magazine this year, and I found something very interesting. It started with 2000 or 2001, which I believe was the year of the iPod's initial release. It also was the most profitable year of music sales ever. However, I looked at the music sales from then and looked at them now, and it's jaw dropping how quickly this industry has fallen. I'm not blaming the iPod in of itself, but the trend of buying mp3s and downloading essentially created a fad of people who upload music for free. Once a couple, people do it, more people do it to the point where a high percentage of people nowadays are not buying cds anymore.

To end this massive post, Film definitely has not been hit like that. Sure, some people download booglegs or quality uploads online, but most of it is the movies that are going to make money anyways. The only thing the movie industry is having trouble with now is that rental stores are becoming a thing of the past due to Redboxes and Netflix. People are getting movies cheap that way, copying them and returning them. Not saying all do, but I know a number of people that do. However, sales records for DVDs and Blu-Rays still seem to be up. CD sales? Not so much.
 
It's far easier to download a 100mb album that's a similar enough quality to the CD than download a 500mb cam bootleg where some guy stands up in front of the camera to use the bathroom 5 minutes in.

Though the movie industry sure does seem to be hurting this year and its the first year that numbers are down since about 2005. Domestically Robin Hood, Prince of Persia, The Wolfman, and A-Team have all been pretty big disappointments. Prince of Persia and Robin Hood were able to make a profit with international numbers but a domestic gross half your budget usually is not a good thing.
My attendance this year is way down and a lot of that has to do with how crappy the movies have been this year. I've only seen Iron Man 2 and Girl With The Dragon Tattoo since April. How To Train Your Dragon is by far the best film of the year so far. There are three movies out right now I want to see but 2 of them are indie releases that only just got to my local arthouse theater but have been released for months. Hoping to catch Get Him to the Greek at some point.
 
It's far easier to download a 100mb album that's a similar enough quality to the CD than download a 500mb cam bootleg where some guy stands up in front of the camera to use the bathroom 5 minutes in.

Though the movie industry sure does seem to be hurting this year and its the first year that numbers are down since about 2005. Domestically Robin Hood, Prince of Persia, The Wolfman, and A-Team have all been pretty big disappointments. Prince of Persia and Robin Hood were able to make a profit with international numbers but a domestic gross half your budget usually is not a good thing.
My attendance this year is way down and a lot of that has to do with how crappy the movies have been this year. I've only seen Iron Man 2 and Girl With The Dragon Tattoo since April. How To Train Your Dragon is by far the best film of the year so far. There are three movies out right now I want to see but 2 of them are indie releases that only just got to my local arthouse theater but have been released for months. Hoping to catch Get Him to the Greek at some point.

I read an article a while back, that said this is the first year that studios are trying to put out decent (or at least bankable) movies throughout the year. I think this is why this summer has truly sucked so far. People are used to decent movies or at least entertaining popcorn movies and due to this new trend, it isn't happening. In general though, I think the major problem with the film industry this year is like you said. The movies just aren't as good. I've only seen Shutter Island as well as the two you mentioned. Shutter being pretty disappointing (and I'm glad I had a coupon to see it for free). Being the film snob as I am though, summer usually isn't a good film season for me, and it is really hard to find any decent indies in my area. As much as I would love to go to some of the art hourses in Chicago, it can get pricey driving to the city and/or going on the train. DVD is usually my way of seeing most films I'm interested in.
 
In general though, I think the major problem with the film industry this year is like you said. The movies just aren't as good.

I'll second this as well. I have two kids under five years old, so we just don't go to the movies more than once or twice a year. Last thing I saw in theatres was "Surrogate", and the next thing I'll see will be "Toy Story 3" and "Inception". Aside from that, there has been almost nothing even remotely interesting for me....
 
I'll second this as well. I have two kids under five years old, so we just don't go to the movies more than once or twice a year. Last thing I saw in theatres was "Surrogate", and the next thing I'll see will be "Toy Story 3" and "Inception". Aside from that, there has been almost nothing even remotely interesting for me....

"Inception" for sure is the movie I'm most looking forward to. "Toy Story 3" I probably will see, though I don't have a lot of confidence in it. I think they should've ended it with 2.
 
Well this year's list of releases doesn't do as much for me as the past few years. I've gone to the theater far less this year in comparison to other years. I don't download movies. I either see them in the theater or rent them. I only have a 32" HDTV at home, with a junky sound system so I don't even consider it a fair trade. I do buy previously viewed movies as the cost for new movies is prohibitive. My movie collection is full with pulp'ish stuff, as artful movies are rarely ones I want to see more than once. I prefer to own movies that I can just put on and enjoy for a while, with a lack of great depth. Great depth works well for seeing in the theater or renting. But they aren't the type of movies that I say to myself that I'm in the mood for. When I am, it lasts long enough to bump it in my queue.

The movie industry is doing okay at the extremes, but on average for a movie, I couldn't tell you. Some studios are seeing increased profits, and are starting to try to cut costs.

Honestly, I don't know a single person who substitutes downloading for going to the theater. But I could understand that mentality, as going to the theater is often a huge annoyance. I now try to go weekdays and non-opening weeks to have the theater as empty as possible.
 
Well this year's list of releases doesn't do as much for me as the past few years. I've gone to the theater far less this year in comparison to other years. I don't download movies. I either see them in the theater or rent them. I only have a 32" HDTV at home, with a junky sound system so I don't even consider it a fair trade. I do buy previously viewed movies as the cost for new movies is prohibitive. My movie collection is full with pulp'ish stuff, as artful movies are rarely ones I want to see more than once. I prefer to own movies that I can just put on and enjoy for a while, with a lack of great depth. Great depth works well for seeing in the theater or renting. But they aren't the type of movies that I say to myself that I'm in the mood for. When I am, it lasts long enough to bump it in my queue.

The movie industry is doing okay at the extremes, but on average for a movie, I couldn't tell you. Some studios are seeing increased profits, and are starting to try to cut costs.

Honestly, I don't know a single person who substitutes downloading for going to the theater. But I could understand that mentality, as going to the theater is often a huge annoyance. I now try to go weekdays and non-opening weeks to have the theater as empty as possible.

Definitely. I mean if friends of mine want to go see a new flick I will, but typically my preference is to go to the early shows, either during the week or the weekend. It's cheaper too.
 
pellaz, i feel most music stores that focus strictly on music will cease to exist...excluding those small stores run by some die hard fans, within the decade.

i dont see any music record store's sticking around past 2020. if they do, it will be because they have expanded their business into instruments as well. although will probably have a hard time competing with places like guitar center which has been slowly creating a walmart-esque command of the industry.

as for there not being good movies...not sure about that!! i think you have to look at the scope of problem. of course downloading has some level of impact, but its also no surprise that most industries are hurting in the current economic climate.

movies are one of the most expensive things to go to nowadays. $10 for my ticket...whats it like $6.50 for a soda, $8 for a popcorn? i just feel like alot less people are willing to dish that out.

also consider the drastic rise of "on demand" and redbox move rentals. redbox is $1 to rent a movie. on demand is between $3-$5, but allows you to not move off your coach- saving gas and time.

people are just more conscious now and taking the easiest and cheapest route. id be willing to bet that, beyond how cool they look...the recent surge in 3D movies is due to the fact that it is the one thing home theatre/movie rental has yet to take control of from movie theatres. if you want to see avatar in 3D...youre going to be going to the movies. its that simple.
 
I get unrestricted passes from a friend. He gets them for only $4 through work so it's pretty cheap for us to go to the movies unless we want to go to an IMAX or 3D screening where they charge us another $5 for each ticket on top of the passes. We're pretty much done with 3D films anyway. I might see Toy Story 3 in 3D depending on the reviews but I will see The Last Airbender in 2D. Too many are tacking it on in post-processing after deciding to make it 3D midway through production. If the film wasn't meant to be 3D from the start, I don't have any desire to see it in 3D as most of the post-processing 3D effects have been hack jobs. And our local IMAX is one of those lieMAX screens so there's no point in seeing most films that way.
We don't buy food or drinks unless we're at the art house theater which I have no problem supporting. Their prices are much more reasonable anyway.

We also went to Austin Film Festival last year and will be attending again this year. We ended up seeing something like a dozen films ranging from extremely independent self funded films to some of the bigger indie releases. Including my favorite film of 2009 that will hopefully one day see distribution in the US (its a Japanese film).
 
How much longer do y'all think stores will carry CDs in quantity? Two years? Three? Five?

I don't know. I still think it's gonna be a while for a store like Best Buy and such. It'll shrink in supply but not go away. I don't think what Rob Zombie said, that by the time he would get around to do his next album that cds will be completely gone.

pellaz, i feel most music stores that focus strictly on music will cease to exist...excluding those small stores run by some die hard fans, within the decade.

i dont see any music record store's sticking around past 2020. if they do, it will be because they have expanded their business into instruments as well. although will probably have a hard time competing with places like guitar center which has been slowly creating a walmart-esque command of the industry.

as for there not being good movies...not sure about that!! i think you have to look at the scope of problem. of course downloading has some level of impact, but its also no surprise that most industries are hurting in the current economic climate.

movies are one of the most expensive things to go to nowadays. $10 for my ticket...whats it like $6.50 for a soda, $8 for a popcorn? i just feel like alot less people are willing to dish that out.

also consider the drastic rise of "on demand" and redbox move rentals. redbox is $1 to rent a movie. on demand is between $3-$5, but allows you to not move off your coach- saving gas and time.

people are just more conscious now and taking the easiest and cheapest route. id be willing to bet that, beyond how cool they look...the recent surge in 3D movies is due to the fact that it is the one thing home theatre/movie rental has yet to take control of from movie theatres. if you want to see avatar in 3D...youre going to be going to the movies. its that simple.

As far as specific cd stores. Those will be gone. As I said before in a post once, I used to work at an FYE and I am astounded how they stay afloat. Every year I was there, they were doing worse and worse and came up with even worse ideas to help generate sales. Indie stores there will always be in my opinion, but less and less.

Theater viewing is only super expensive if you get food and such. I never do. In fact, a lot of times you can pretty easily sneak some bottled waters and such in. That's what I do. Also, if you go during the day it's cheaper and if you go to final run theaters it's super cheap. However, I only go if it's something I REALLY want to see.
 
My personal feeling is that CDs will go the way of the dodo at most stores in no less than three, but not more than five years. Already, the number of CD shelves at Best Buy stores near me has been halved during the last 1-2 years. Since last Christmas, the Best Buys I've seen have ordered VERY FEW new CDs except for pop titles that are guaranteed monster sellers, and a look at the steadily emptying shelves bears this out.

Case in point: Immortal, All Shall Fall. I looked for it the Wednesday after it was released and according to Best Buy's computer the title had been deleted immediately, and was not in stock -- and had not been received -- in any Best Buy store within 1,000 miles. (The helpful clerk suggested I try across the street, and sure enough, they had it at Hot Topic. (!)) This, for one of CM/NB's biggest titles of the year.

It's simple: stores just can't be certain now that the more offbeat, non-monster releases will EVER sell.
 
My personal feeling is that CDs will go the way of the dodo at most stores in no less than three, but not more than five years. Already, the number of CD shelves at Best Buy stores near me has been halved during the last 1-2 years. Since last Christmas, the Best Buys I've seen have ordered VERY FEW new CDs except for pop titles that are guaranteed monster sellers, and a look at the steadily emptying shelves bears this out.

Case in point: Immortal, All Shall Fall. I looked for it the Wednesday after it was released and according to Best Buy's computer the title had been deleted immediately, and was not in stock -- and had not been received -- in any Best Buy store within 1,000 miles. (The helpful clerk suggested I try across the street, and sure enough, they had it at Hot Topic. (!)) This, for one of CM/NB's biggest titles of the year.

It's simple: stores just can't be certain now that the more offbeat, non-monster releases will EVER sell.

Interesting. I got mine at the Best Buy in a suburb of Chicago, but maybe it's due to that in your area that stuff doesn't ever really sell.
 
I don't think that CDs will be gone in 3 years. I'll be still buying them. As much as I hate CDs when they get scratched, I hate with digital music files that you have to transfer them to every new device, its not easy to lend to a friend, and simple hard drive crash could lose you thousands of dollars (if you don't regularly backup, which most people don't). I hate that many downloadable albums still don't offer downloads in a lossless format.

And CD sales still seem to work for bigger bands, especially in those 'exclusive' deals with Walmart.
 
I don't think the question is whether CDs will still be around, but retail distribution of the discs in question. As far as actually buying the discs themselves, lately i've been more oriented towards the digital downloads, unless the case itself has something going for it (awesome album art, is a big one. Liner notes with more artist insight/input than the usual,) What can I say? I'm a sucker for gimmicks, and I often don't mind paying the extra 5 bucks for the 'limited' editions of albums. Actually there are probably a couple dozen albums I own that I purchased because of the album art alone and I am infrequently disappointed by such buys. I think it shows that the artist and it's labels actually care about what they're doing. Now if that is actually the case remains to be seen, but that's the impression I get.

Let's see... some albums I've bought strictly because of the album art, then subsequently got into the band's music:
Mastodon (remission and Leviathan in the same purchase; wasn't disappointed.) Tool's Aenema, The Sword (both albums), Symphony X's Paradise lost (Which got me into them. I'm such a n00b) Devin Townsend's "ziltoid", My Dying Bride (a Line of Deathless Kings), High on Fire (Blessed Black Wings), Grails (Doomsdayer's holiday) Falconer's self titled, Destiny's end (transition), Bal-Sagoth (Starfire Burning Upon The Ice-Veiled Throne Of Ultima Thule)...I could go on forever.

Granted it doesn't always grant me a boon, and often I end up with genuine crap.
 
All I can say is that I will *ABSOLUTELY NOT* go to the movies watch a movie anymore. The prices of everything are absolutely exorbitant. They should be ashamed of themselves for charging $4 for a bottle of water, $12 to see a movie, $6 for a soda, etc. A local, privately owned movie theater MAYBE if they're not being thieves like that. I have no problem in paying for the BluRay/DVD however, especially now that the BluRay prices are going down.
 
I don't think the question is whether CDs will still be around, but retail distribution of the discs in question. As far as actually buying the discs themselves, lately i've been more oriented towards the digital downloads, unless the case itself has something going for it (awesome album art, is a big one. Liner notes with more artist insight/input than the usual,) What can I say? I'm a sucker for gimmicks, and I often don't mind paying the extra 5 bucks for the 'limited' editions of albums. Actually there are probably a couple dozen albums I own that I purchased because of the album art alone and I am infrequently disappointed by such buys. I think it shows that the artist and it's labels actually care about what they're doing. Now if that is actually the case remains to be seen, but that's the impression I get.

Let's see... some albums I've bought strictly because of the album art, then subsequently got into the band's music:
Mastodon (remission and Leviathan in the same purchase; wasn't disappointed.) Tool's Aenema, The Sword (both albums), Symphony X's Paradise lost (Which got me into them. I'm such a n00b) Devin Townsend's "ziltoid", My Dying Bride (a Line of Deathless Kings), High on Fire (Blessed Black Wings), Grails (Doomsdayer's holiday) Falconer's self titled, Destiny's end (transition), Bal-Sagoth (Starfire Burning Upon The Ice-Veiled Throne Of Ultima Thule)...I could go on forever.

Granted it doesn't always grant me a boon, and often I end up with genuine crap.

Interesting choices. A Line of Deathless Kings is what actually got me into My Dying Bride; however, I find the album art to suck or at least look like every other dark metal album cover. :lol: