NFL 2010

You can't just ignore the penalties. I recall from watching that game that many of them were deliberately caused by the Bears. They were not temporary mental lapses, as false starts/offsides often are. When a guy holds Peppers and drags him to the ground, the Bears deserve credit for that. It happened a few times. Pass interference or defensive holding on an open man is something the offense can take credit for. Also, the Bears can not be overrated, because no one ever has rated them highly, and the consensus has never been that they are more than merely good. The fact that Chicago is an underdog at home should back that. Green Bay has been often dumb over the last two years, as evidenced by bad in-game coaching, clock-management, and penalties. I think they have a wealth of talent, but McCarthy is an underwhelming coach who is lucky to have Capers. Bad personal fouls/late hits aren't luck either. That reflects on who the team is, and it may or may not show up later.

It's hard to rate Cutler's performance due to his competition this last weekend compared to everyone else, but he sure handled Seattle better than Brees did. I can understand doubting his supporting cast, but I don't know why people give guys like Flacco and Sanchez slack, when by any eye test they have far, far less ability. I recall Terry Bradshaw's feature where he did not rank Cutler as one of the top 10 QBs under 30. Cutler is already more accomplished than Matt Ryan is in the playoffs. This sort of speaks to the above discussion about playoff performance. Unless a guy craps his pants, you should expect something close to typical performance, but there is a lot of luck involved, and the small sample size means that no one should read too much into it whether good or bad. Defense and special teams matter a lot too.
 
Special teams and dumb mental mistakes concern me greatly, agreed. Green Bay did a good job on special against Chicago last game, and hopefully it doesn't revert back to where it was during most of the regular season. They lost several games because of bad special teams play.

And I don't agree, I can see where it would be easy for a hometown fan to agree with the officials when EVERY call goes their way, but I thought it was unbelievably bad officiating and the MNF guys disagreed with a lot of the calls as well. A lot of phantom holding calls. And they haven't had any more late hit penalties than anyone else has, so I don't see that as a problem.

And I also disagree with your perception of McCarthy. He's not the best offensive coordinator at times, but he found a way to win despite being decimated by season ending injuries to critical positions. He's also very smart with challenges. He is TERRIBLE with clock management, but this could be a result of Rodgers's relative inexperience, but regardless that is a glaring problem. I like him, but I'd to see someone else calling plays on offense. Dom Capers is a genius and a godsend and I'd suck his dick.

Overall, the Packers are extremely talented even with their starting running back and tight end out for the year. I could easily see them winning the superbowl, assuming they don't make the mental mistakes that hurt them in the regular season.
 
I've been down on the Bears the entire year. (you guys know this)
But if they will this game against Green Bay, I'll shit my pants. There are college O lines better than those guys.
Either Martz and Tice are the smartest men on the planet, or the online killed an Ancient Red Dragon and went up 10 levels.
 
The honest to god only thing I see being able to allow the Bears a victory over the Packers at this point is weather / field condition. Based primarily around dropped passes as of late and that Rodgers moves those feet far more often than Cutler. Even with that being the case, with the Packers defense play as is, and the guaranteed pressure on Cutler that could change easily with turn overs. The success of the bears running game in this scenario is all I can see winning it for them.
 
I think MasterOLightning's analysis of the Bears is pretty sound, but I'm not confident enough to make a prediction. I will say that I want the Bears to win though because Aaron Rodgers' stupid championship belt gimmick is incredibly obnoxious and the Packers' fanbase regularly insisting that the only way the Packers can ever possibly lose a game is if they beat themselves or the referees hand the other team the win (much like Ravens fans [and players for that matter, including Ray Lewis]) is indefensibly blind to reality. The Bears should definitely be able to put a lot more successful pressure on Rodgers than the Falcons were able to muster, and I'm not talking about just sacks or not letting him roll away from pressure.
 
Well though I take the Championship belt gimmick as a joke and hold little credence to it, I really REALLY hope the Packers players aren't buying too much into the hype.
 
IF the jets were to get to the super bowl, they'd only have a chance against the bears I think, and I really dont think either of those teams will be there.

I'm crossing my fingers for a steelers bears superbowl though, that'd be some ugly shit.