they predicted the opposite of what happened: that the right-wing coalition would win.Lina said:Does anyone here know what pollsters were predicting the outcome of the election would be before the attack took place?
Ah, thanks. Interesting. Just like here, the election will swing on whichever is more immediately important at the time -- terrorism or the economy. I should've known.hyena said:@lina: the pre-election polls were forecasting a victory of the Popular Party (conservative, the party of the former prime minister Aznar). It seems that a great many Spanish voters swung left in the wake of the terror attacks. What you say about the high disapproval rate for operations in Iraq is correct, but generally speaking the population of Spain was satisfied with their government, because it managed to restart the national economy after a bleak period.
That's funny, I've gotten the impression you're the one to fear around here.hyena said:I'm otherwise completely terrified by what you say.
i agree with that, as in: it's simplistic to think that a "seek & destroy" approach is going to work. there needs to be more military and diplomatic intelligence involved. provided, however, that we agree on the fact that the extermination of the threat is our final goal. if we tergiversate cuddling the thought that other, peaceful and long-term solutions are viable, i think we lose track of the menace and we end up fucked badly.If that's the case, how do we go about fighting a "war" with them? It's a neverending, unwinnable proposition. I'm not saying we should cease and desist, I'm just annoyed how conservatives think we can simply kill them all "one by one," problem solved.
that's also probably quite true, but i don't find it such a problem aside from the relative, technical lack of competence shown by this or that president/chief of state. i'm inclined to believe in this case said incompetence was rather manifest in some stages of the intervention, yet we don't know about the other side. it could even be a matter of personal skills, although i tend to trust more the political faction that doesn't exhude an aura of meek forgiveness."Most aggressively antiterror party" being, in his eyes, the Republicans (which is ludicrous). I'd argue instead that the American public would rally behind the president, whichever party he is from, and only out of blind patriotism. I'm not sure that's any more praise-worthy than a knee-jerk response against the status quo.
ok, this is the point i find terrifying. charging full-steam might be macho and technically inefficient, but going around three days from a 200-people killing saying that fighting the culprits was a mistake is pure shit, in my humble opinion. if some strategies have to be revised, you don't revise them feeding the population some instrumental words about how everything your political adversaries have done turned out to be utter crap. prodi wants to be praised for geopolitical insights he's never had, in order to try and fuck up the italian government (who indeed deserves it, but for other reasons) and would with exactly as much ease say the very opposite if it had any chance to end up in its favour.Prodi's observation is absolutely correct. It is Brooks who assumes that is an endorsement for "capitulation and negotiation." Again, more defensiveness on the part of conservatives, rather than have an intellectual policy debate. (And maybe there's nothing to debate, maybe the situation is just that impossible, but come on, enough with the macho "charging full-steam ahead" attitude.)
Agreed.rahvin said:well, i certainly agree with the main point of the article, namely that any behaviour that might make terrorists think that their actions are working should be avoided on top of any other political choice.
:Shedevil:still i don't find lina's counterpoints that fearsome, except for one.
To whom are you referring as the other side?that's also probably quite true, but i don't find it such a problem aside from the relative, technical lack of competence shown by this or that president/chief of state. i'm inclined to believe in this case said incompetence was rather manifest in some stages of the intervention, yet we don't know about the other side.
Again, I agree. In my desire for some political verbal masturbation, I picked apart an article that I generally agree with. It's his overtones and the implied meanings behind them, based on his other opinions, that irk me.ok, this is the point i find terrifying. charging full-steam might be macho and technically inefficient, but going around three days from a 200-people killing saying that fighting the culprits was a mistake is pure shit, in my humble opinion.
I don't know enough about him to take his remarks in context, obviously.prodi wants to be praised for geopolitical insights he's never had, in order to try and fuck up the italian government (who indeed deserves it, but for other reasons) and would with exactly as much ease say the very opposite if it had any chance to end up in its favour.
Yes, but the internal political debate here is over how to build a solid opposition. And Brooks is implying there is only one such way -- as Bush says in every speech, to "hunt them down, one by one." I find that oversimplification to be revolting. I don't pretend to have a solution though -- hence why this is verbal masturbation ultimately.everything that doesn't go in the direction of building a solid opposition to terrorist strikes is capitulation and negotiation.
rahvin said:edit: oh, and the other side = life after de...
I strongly disagree when people say, for instance, we have no idea how Gore would've handled the situation instead. There are years of party and individual history to refer to.err, no, wait: the democratic party in the usa, left-wing parties in italy and spain, right-wing parties in england.
Perhaps truer words were never spoken, but more hypocritical actions were never taken then as well.hyena said:@lina: i'd love to debate, but alas in tune with the tide of time i have to go to bed. i'll leave you with a quote for the night: we are going to have to change the way we live. or else, we are going to have to chance the way they live. we have chosen the latter. uttered by forementioned teddy-candidate in sept. 2001, and immediately printed on a very scary (heh) t-shirt of mine. truer words were seldom spoken.
i obviously ignore those concerning the democratics in the states. but i do know something about that of italian's left-wing, and i must say it's no guarantee of how the situation would have been handled now. a phase of italian history that framed two specific position (commonly referred to as left and right) can be traced back to around 50 years ago, but since then said position have shifted and, in some way, watered down. i can imagine what the reaction of left-wing's politicans' forefathers could have been - and i still don't like it - but i can't say how the new ruling class from that side would have decided to react, because they've never been in charge on the occasion of a war yet.Lina said:IThere are years of party and individual history to refer to.
you got my full interest for one second.hyena said:we'll find a remedy for those damn time zones as well!
ehm... no. maybe i got carried away.
just as long as you don't fling me into the fire, i've had my share of burning for this year.Lina said:*asks for polar teddy instead*
come on, we just sent peacekeepers. you and i could have handled that war inbetween parties at your place.hyena said:besides, rahve, the current left-wing leadership actually handled the kosovo war and it wasn't too bad at it, either.